Tuesday, April 17, 2012

CD6: Poll Shows John Delaney with Big Lead Over GOP Rep. Roscoe Bartlett // Dem Wins Independents By Double-Digits

Maryland Juice just received a press release from 6th Congressional District Democratic nominee John Delaney showing a 9-point lead over Rep. Roscoe Bartlett. Indeed, Mr. Bartlett's twenty years of service as a Republican incumbent do not appear to be aiding him in his efforts to hold his seat.

Notably, yesterday The Washington Post took a look at the 1st Quarter Congressional fundraising reports from around the nation and compiled a list of winners and losers. 6th Congressional District incumbent, Rep. Roscoe Bartlett made the top losers list (see below). Today's polling numbers further confirm his endangered status.
WASHINGTON POST: Rep. Roscoe Barlett (R-Md.): Not only did the incumbent win his primary this month with just 44 percent of the vote; he also got outraised $800,000 to $255,000 by his new Democratic opponent, John Delaney. And that’s not counting the $1.7 million Delaney has self-funded. Given that Bartlett now has a Democratic-leaning seat (thanks to redistricting), it’s hard to call him anything short of an underdog.

Poll Shows Delaney with Big Lead in Race with Bartlett

Delaney up Nine Points, Only 24% of Likely Voters Prefer to 
Re-Elect Twenty-year Incumbent Bartlett

A new poll by the Delaney campaign shows entrepreneur John Delaney with a nine-point lead over twenty-year Republican incumbent Congressman Roscoe Bartlett in Maryland’s Sixth District. The poll, conducted by Fred Yang of Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group between April 9-11 shows on the first ballot test:

John Delaney
Roscoe Bartlett
Not Sure

“John Delaney’s expertise on job creation and focus on the economy is resonating with voters,” said Campaign Manager Justin Schall. “While John believes Congressman Bartlett is a good person, Sixth District voters are tired of politics as usual from Washington and hungry for new leadership and fresh ideas.”

The poll discloses additional significant data:
  • Only 24% of likely voters said that they preferred that Congressman Bartlett be re-elected.
  • 50% answered that they would prefer that a new congressman be elected.
  • Additionally, 47% of respondents said that they preferred the next congressman to be a Democrat, while 40% preferred a Republican. 
  • Delaney holds double-digit leads with both types of Independent voters, registered (42%-31%) and self-identified (41%-31%).
The poll’s margin of error was +/- 5%. The poll was conducted among a representative sample of 402 general election voters over three nights.

The poll memo can be read here.


CD6: John Delaney Internal Polling Memo 4/17/2012

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