Monday, September 23, 2013

POLL: Anthony Brown Survey Shows 22 Point Lead in MD Governor's Race // PLUS: Rep. John Sarbanes Endorses Brown

One day before Attorney General Doug Gansler is set to officially announce his campaign for Maryland Governor, rival candidate Anthony Brown has released a double-whammy of press releases. Early today, the Lieutenant Governor's team released internal polling results showing Brown with a 22-point lead over his closest rival. Note that the gubernatorial candidates have not really spent money on major voter outreach, so the race could easily change in a few months (note that Joe Lieberman was leading in presidential polls early in the 2004 race, likely due simply to higher name recognition). Even still, Brown's poll shows that this early in the race, only 31% of voters remain undecided.

In any case, the release of the polling numbers appears to be part of a strategy to rain on Gansler's kickoff, because hours later, Brown's campaign issued a second press release announcing the endorsement of Congressman John Sarbanes. You can see both press releases and a polling memo below:


POLL: Anthony Brown has 22 Point Lead in Race for Democratic Gubernatorial Nomination

September poll shows Lt. Governor Brown backed by 43% of likely primary voters, compared to 21% for Attorney General Gansler and 5% for Delegate Mizeur

Upper Marlboro, MD: A mid-September poll by Garin-Hart-Yang has found that Lt. Governor Anthony Brown takes 43% of the vote in Maryland’s June 2014 gubernatorial primary election, compared to 21% for Attorney General Doug Gansler. 31% of voters remain undecided, while Del. Heather Mizeur receives the support of 5% of voters.

Furthermore, Lt. Governor Brown leads Attorney General Gansler by 22 points in a head to head survey, supported by 46% of voters to Attorney General Gansler’s 24% with 30% undecided.

“With a 22 point lead in the Democratic primary for Governor, the momentum is clearly growing for Anthony Brown,” said Justin Schall, Campaign Manager for Brown Ulman 2014. “The excitement around the Brown Ulman team has been incredible and, while we still have a lot of work to do, we are energized by the broad and diverse support our campaign has received.”

The results show that Lt. Governor Brown has significantly increased his lead in the Democratic primary election since a similar September 2012 poll, expanding from a 14-point lead a year ago to his current 22-point lead in the three-way trial heat. He has similarly expanded his lead from 16 points a year ago to 22 points currently in the two-way trial heat. Lt. Governor Brown also has double-digit leads in the Washington, D.C. and Baltimore media markets, while earning strong name recognition, favorability, and supporter intensity marks.

The survey was conducted between September 11 and 15, 2013 by Garin-Hart-Yang, which interviewed a statewide sample of 608 likely Democratic primary voters. The survey has a margin of error of +-4.0 percentage points and is fully representational of a 2014 statewide Democratic primary electorate by key geographic and demographic factors.

Click here to read the polling memo in its entirety.



Congressman John Sarbanes endorses the Brown Ulman Team

Sarbanes: Brown “is a proven and resourceful leader who will keep Maryland's recovery on track”

Baltimore, MD. - Today Congressman John Sarbanes announced his formal endorsement of Anthony Brown for Governor and Ken Ulman for Lt. Governor. In his endorsement, Sarbanes cited his work with Anthony Brown to implement the Affordable Care Act, and Brown’s commitment to investing in Maryland’s schools and infrastructure as well as his military service in Iraq.

“I am glad to support the Brown/Ulman team in 2014,” said Congressman John Sarbanes, “I have had the pleasure of working with Lieutenant Governor Brown on a variety of initiatives, including the effort to implement health care reform in our state and to ensure that the Baltimore region is maximizing the opportunities presented by BRAC.  He is a proven and resourceful leader who will keep Maryland's recovery on track with investments in infrastructure and education. The Lieutenant Governor's service to our country in the U.S. Armed Forces -- most recently in Iraq -- has set a powerful example of sacrifice and commitment. Ken Ulman and I have had the opportunity to collaborate on a number of health and environmental projects and I believe Ken will draw on his outstanding tenure as Howard County Executive for the benefit of all Marylanders.”

“I'm honored to have the endorsement of Congressman John Sarbanes, one of the hardest working leaders for Maryland's middle class families,” said Lt. Governor Anthony Brown. “Together, we've made health care more accessible and affordable, we’ve invested in our roads and schools and we’ve kept Maryland’s economy growing and creating jobs. We’ve made a lot of progress over the last seven years, and I’m looking forward to working with our growing and diverse coalition of supporters to build a better Maryland for more Marylanders.”

With this endorsement, Congressman Sarbanes joins Governor Martin O’Malley, Senator Barbara Mikulski, Democratic Whip Steny Hoyer, Congressman Elijah Cummings, Congresswoman Donna Edwards, State Senate President Thomas V. “Mike” Miller, Jr., Baltimore Mayor Stephanie Rawlings-Blake and more than half of Maryland’s Democratic elected County Executives, Councilmembers and Commissioners who have endorsed Anthony Brown and Ken Ulman.

To see an updated list of all of Anthony Brown’s endorsements, click here.


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