Showing posts with label jeanne ellinport. Show all posts
Showing posts with label jeanne ellinport. Show all posts

Thursday, March 7, 2013

UNMASKED: Creators of Anonymous Website Attacking Valerie Ervin Revealed // But There's More Than Meets The Eye Here

MOCO POLITICAL WHODUNIT DEVELOPING: IS SOMEONE IN ROCKVILLE FUELING ANTI-ERVIN EFFORTS?

MYSTERY SOLVED? - This week Maryland Juice discussed an anonymous website attacking Montgomery County Councilmember Valerie Ervin, a potential County Exec candidate in 2014. Incumbent County Executive Ike Leggett condemned the faceless assault, and yesterday Ervin's colleague Councilmember Phil Andrews also released a statement against the anonymous attacks. For what it's worth, Ervin told The Examiner that she "approached legal counsel on action she can take against the perpetrators." But last night The Washington Post reported on the identity of the consultant who created the website at www.Valerie-Ervin-Unmasked.com (excerpt below):
WASHINGTON POST: An anonymous Web site that targets Montgomery County Council member Valerie Ervin ... is connected to a public relations firm whose clients include a county government employees union that has clashed with Ervin over labor issues....

The number attached to the text did not accept phone calls, and the site’s home page has no indication of who paid for it. But a review of the site’s internal code shows the user name of a principal at Kenefick Communications, a public relations and graphic design firm in Annapolis. It specializes in union communications and works regularly for the Municipal and County Government Employees Organization. The local, affiliated with the United Food and Commercial Workers, represents about 3,700 non-public safety workers in Montgomery. President Gino Renne has been outspokenly critical of Ervin. He did not return phone messages Wednesday.

Tara Landis, the Kenefick principal whose name appears in the code, did not return a phone message to her home Wednesday. Lisa Gebbia, another firm principal, denied involvement but said Kenefick has “done anti-Valerie sites before...”

MORE THAN MEETS THE EYE - Below Maryland Juice dissects The Washington Post's trail of evidence unveiling the creators of the Valerie Ervin attack website. Their reporter Bill Turque thinks the trail of clues leads to MCGEO, a union representing many Montgomery County government employees. But after our analysis of the WaPo evidence, Maryland Juice presents an alternate (and potentially more interesting) theory.

CLUES IN THE SOURCE CODE: Let's begin by examining the evidence outlined in The Washington Post's story linking MCGEO to the valunmasked.com website. The Post states that the site's internal code points to Kenefick Communications, but Maryland Juice will show you exactly what that means. A normal visitor to the site will see the following image:


But it appears as if the website's creator accidentally left a draft version of the website online at: http://www.valerie-ervin-unmasked.com/html. Visitors to that url see the following draft website:


If you look at the source code to this web page (right-click and "view page source"), you begin to see clues about the identity of its creator:



This is what the source code for the valunmasked.com site looks like (I highlighted the interesting part):



Notably, embedded within the anonymous website are references to the following Macintosh owner: file:///Macintosh HD/Users/taralandis/Desktop/. A search of LinkedIn.com reveals three people named Tara Landis in the Baltimore-Washington metropolitan area:




The third Tara Landis to appear in the search results is listed as the owner of Kenefick Communications, which denied involvement in the Ervin website to The Washington Post. But the WaPo also noted that UFCW Local 1994 (aka MCGEO) is listed as a client of Kenefick Communications:



WHAT'S REALLY GOING ON HERE? - Maryland Juice thinks it seems highly unlikely that MCGEO (if involved) is acting alone in its attacks on Valerie Ervin. Indeed, I believe that a closer look at the available evidence debunks the single-shooter theory. All signs indicate that a "6th Floor" insider or two may have assisted in the anonymous attacks. For those who are unaware, "6th Floor" refers to the floor of the Montgomery County government building in Rockville where all of the County Councilmembers and their aides work. There are several reasons why I think this to be the case.

ODDITY #1: INCONSISTENT USE OF ANONYMOUS AND PUBLIC WEBSITES: First of all, MCGEO's spat with Councilmember Ervin is not a secret to anybody. In fact, the union has tried to be as public as possible about their disagreements with Ervin. For example, in 2011 MCGEO union created an attack website at therealvalerieervin.com, but they did so with their name on it:

This 2011 website was created by Kennefick Communications' client MCGEO

Why would MCGEO create a wildly aggressive campaign website against Valerie Ervin in 2011, but only two years later hide behind the cloak of anonymity? And if this really is just another MCGEO project, why is their consulting firm Kennefick Communications denying involvement in the attack site? Something doesn't make sense here.


ODDITY #2: A STRANGE LIST OF PEOPLE NOT RELATED TO MCGEO RECEIVED NOTICE OF THE ATTACK WEBSITE - There is one big clue that whoever did this was working with inside assistance from within Rockville political circles: the list of people that were notified about the launch of the website. Remember that the way in which many politicos found out about the valunmasked.com website was they received a text message to their cell phone numbers. Indeed, the creators of the website about Ervin appear to have sent a mass-blast text message to many people at one time, Maryland Juice included.

WHOSE ROLODEX INCLUDES CELL PHONE NUMBERS FOR JUNIOR COUNCIL AIDES? - Interestingly, the very first person who reported to me that they had received an anti-Valerie Ervin text message was a junior staff member for a County Councilmember. This immediately struck me as strange, because this particular legislative aide would not be a likely target to receive such a message (ie: they are not the Chief of Staff or Communications Director). In fact, it seemed highly unlikely that MCGEO would have had the personal cell phone number for this particular Council employee. Moroever, this source also told Maryland Juice directly that their personal cellphone number is never given out publicly for work purposes.

I poked around a bit to see who else in Rockville received the text messages, and the list is really pretty random. To be sure, some Councilmembers and their Chiefs of Staff received the anonymous messages, but not all of them. Moreover a few oddly random Council aides/schedulers received the text -- but again, not all of them. I reiterate that it is unlikely that a labor organization would have personal cell phone numbers for all of these employees.

One source noted, however, that Council aides are given an emergency card with the cellphone numbers of all 6th Floor staff and officials. In fact, Maryland Juice still has the card he was given when working on the 6th Floor (see below). If such a document was used to build the list of recipients for the anti-Ervin message, it still would've had to have come from a 6th Floor source. But in reality, it seems a lot more plausible that the distribution list for the anti-Ervin message appears random because it simply reflects the real-life randomness of a particular person(s) available contacts.

Maryland Juice's worn out pocket card w/ 6th Floor phone numbers

TRIANGULATE: FOLLOW THE TRAIL OF CELL PHONE NUMBERS - The presence of certain County Council aides' cellphone numbers on the anti-Ervin list is a pretty interesting fact to consider. But they are not the only ones who received the message. Maryland Juice poked around to see who else received texts, and the list includes many MoCo political insiders. To be fair, some of these people's cell phone numbers could plausibly be in a MCGEO rolodex, but for others, you'll have to make your own judgment. Here are a few examples from Facebook:

STEVE SIMON is a PR professional who formerly ran communications for Montgomery College and MCPS. He is also a 2006 graduate of Leadership Montgomery, a network of connected folks in MoCo.

Facebook Source

BARBARA GOLDBERG GOLDMAN is a politically connected land use consultant and co-chair of Montgomery County's Affordable Housing Conference.

Facebook Source

JEANNE ELLINPORT was a teacher-backed candidate for Board of Education last year. She lost her race to the MCGEO-backed candidate Rebecca Smondrowki.

Facebook Source


HEARSAY - For the purposes of this discussion, let me briefly state some pure hearsay. Maryland Juice fanned out to try and discover what other types of people received the anti-Ervin text messages, and our sources reported that people ranging from County Council Deputy Staff Director Glenn Orlin to former Doug Duncan aide Jerry Pasternak reportedly also received the messages. So here's the real question: who made the list of recipients for the anti-Ervin text message? And to be very specific, the question rephrased is: who has the cell phone numbers for a random assortment of high-level and junior County Council aides, politically involved MoCo figures, elected officials, and other random folks.

Some of the people that have confirmed receiving the message make it very difficult to believe that a labor union would have had their cell number. Now I could be completely off-base in my analysis here, and so I will gladly hear out any alternate theories or evidence to the contrary. But until then, all of this smells like more chaos on the 6th Floor!

MORE ON THE MOCO WHODUNIT SOON!

Friday, April 13, 2012

UPDATE: MoCo Board of Education Candidate Rebecca Smondrowski Holds 365 Vote Lead Over Jeanne Ellinport

Ten days ago, Montgomery County's Board of Education District 2 Primary ended with somewhat of a murky result. The top two candidates in the race will proceed to the November General Election, but last week there were only 452 votes separating the second and third place finishers:

After 1,652 absentee ballots were counted last week, Fred Evans maintained his first place finish, and Rebecca Smondrowski held a 371 vote lead over Jeanne Ellinport. Today, 2,259 absentee ballots have now been counted, and Ms. Smondrowski is still maintaining a 365 vote lead over Ms. Ellinport. This may be the end of this race, as Ellinport has only netted a handful of votes through the absentee count. See the current unofficial results below:

Board of Education District 002 | Non-Partisan (Vote for One)


NamePartyEarly VotingElection DayAbsentee / ProvisionalTotal VotesPercentage
Saqib AliNon-Partisan8606,021230711110.3%
Susan ByrneNon-Partisan1,46312,3816271447121.0%
Jeanne EllinportNon-Partisan2,03112,4774581496621.7%
Fred EvansNon-Partisan2,09814,4295711709824.8%
Rebecca SmondrowskiNon-Partisan1,74513,2133731533122.2%



Congratulations to Fred Evans & Rebecca Smondrowski!

Friday, April 6, 2012

Montgomery & Frederick School Board Primaries May Come Down to Absentees // Two Analyses of the Results

Below Maryland Juice prints two analyses from Maryland politicos regarding potentially up-in-the-air results in Montgomery and Frederick counties.

A Close Race in Montgomery // Background: In Montgomery County, the District 2 Board of Education primary will ultimately yield two winners who will proceed to the November General Election. But currently, the second and third place finishers are separated by about 450 votes, with over 3,000 absentee ballots outstanding. A Leisure World Democratic Club leader and advocate Paul Bessel provides a micro-analysis of the race. Leisure World is a massive retirement community in Montgomery County with a large Democratic Club, and its super-large precincts have historically had the highest turnout in Maryland. Bessel looks at the District 2 results thus far in the Board of Education race, and he concludes that the outcome could shift. Read his take below. The current results are as follows (click to enlarge):


A Close Race in Frederick // Background: Meanwhile, in Frederick County, the Frederick News-Post editorial board notes that Tea Party leader Blaine Young received a rebuke from voters, given the strong showing of teachers union-backed candidates in last Tuesday's school board primaries. Young has triggered famous wars with public employees in his quest to raise his profile for a run at the Governor's mansion. Nevertheless, the News-Post ed. board highlighted the potential for the results to shift slightly, given the large number of outstanding absentee ballots (relative to the narrow margins). The Frederick Primary is a preview battle for three seats on the county's school board. In last Tuesday's election, voters were allowed to select three candidates out of twelve -- but the top six will proceed to the November ballot. Read the Frederick News-Post's take below. The current results are as follows (click to enlarge):


To help guide you through the math of whether any election results might change, you may want to take a look at the numbers of absentee ballots that were mailed out by the Board of Elections - [Absentee Totals Here]. Also, note that ballots will continue being counted until April 13, 2012.

Maryland Schedule of Ballot Tabulation:
  1. Early Voting: Reporting (Early Voting Results are expected to be posted by 8:30 p.m. on Election Night)
  2. Election Night: 1851 of 1851 Precincts Reporting
  3. Absentee 1: Reporting (The Absentee 1 canvass begins April 5, 2012)
  4. Provisional: Not Reported (The Provisional canvass begins April 11, 2012)
  5. Absentee 2: Not Reported (The Absentee 2 canvass begins April 13, 2012)

Current Leisure World Democratic Club Leaders : Paul Bessel is standing next to President Obama

MoCo Board of Education District 2 Outcome Could Change // by PAUL BESSEL

Thursday, April 5, 2012

REPORT: MD Absentee Ballots Received Per District & County // P.S. MoCo School Board Has 452-Vote Margin w/ 3K Absentees

Maryland Juice was just flipping through the Maryland absentee ballot counts, so I thought I'd share them all with you. The numbers below show how many voters received absentee ballots, and how many have mailed them back. The numbers are split by Congressional District, and then by County. If you are monitoring any races that are currently too close to call, this may help you get a feel for your candidate's chances. Below, for example, the numbers give us an idea of whether the Montgomery County Board of Education results might change in the District 2 race.

SPOTLIGHT: 3,000+ ABSENTEE BALLOTS IN MOCO: One initial thing I've noted is that there appear to be well over 3,000 absentee ballots that have not yet been counted in Montgomery County. That means that the close result in the countywide Board of Education District 2 Primary *could* flip. The second and third place finishers are currently separated by a margin of 451 votes. You can think of a few scenarios why this result could change. For example, a candidate could be doing exceedingly well with absentee voters within a certain strong absentee demographic, or there could be a mundane scenario where a candidate simply didn't target absentee voters. Even still, I think a reversal is not terribly likely, given that there was a crowded field of strong challengers in the D2 race. That means for one candidate to gain 451 votes, they would have to do disproportionately well compared to their rivals. We'll know soon enough! See the pre-absentee results in the MoCo school board D2 race below. The absentees results will hopefully be out soon.

MOCO BOARD OF EDUCATION DISTRICT 2 (Results Without Absentee Counts)
  1. Fred Evans - 16,495 (24.8%) - MCEA Endorsed
  2. Rebecca Smondrowski - 14,938 (22.4%) - Washington Post Endorsed
  3. Jeanne Ellinport - 14,487 (21.7%) - MCEA Endorsed
  4. Susan Byrne - 13,828 (20.8%)
  5. Saqib Ali  - 6,878 (10.3%)

    Maryland Absentee Ballots Sent and Received - April 2012 Primary

    Wednesday, April 4, 2012

    MoCo Board of Education Primaries Bring Mixed Results for Washington Post & Teachers Union Endorsed Candidates

    BACKGROUND: Only the most demented among Maryland politicos could enjoy following the longstanding endorsement rivalry between The Washington Post and Montgomery County's teachers union (aka MCEA). If you happen to be one of these deranged politicos, note that last night's Board of Education results in Montgomery County are a mixed bag for both The Washington Post and MCEA.

    In both the Board of Education District 2 and At-Large races, voters were asked to choose only one candidate in each race. These "primaries" are non-partisan, and so in both the District 2 and At Large races, the top two finishers will appear on the November General Election ballot.

    Board of Education District 2 (Vote for One): For the District 2 race, MCEA endorsed two candidates: Fred Evans and Jeanne Ellinport. Meanwhile, The Washington Post endorsed Rebecca Smondrowski. This skirmish will continue into November, as Fred Evans and Rebecca Smondrowski are the top two finishers in the unofficial vote totals. The 2nd MCEA-backed candidate Jeanne Ellinport trails Smondrowski by 451 votes, which represents over half of a percentage point difference between the two candidates.
    1. Fred Evans - 16,495 (24.8%) - MCEA Endorsed
    2. Rebecca Smondrowski - 14,938 (22.4%) - Washington Post Endorsed
    3. Jeanne Ellinport - 14,487 (21.7%) - MCEA Endorsed
    4. Susan Byrne - 13,828 (20.8%)
    5. Saqib Ali  - 6,878 (10.3%)

    Board of Education At Large (Vote for One): In the Board of Education At Large race, MCEA-backed incumbent Phil Kauffman dominated the primary election, winning over 60% of the vote. His nearest challenger, The Washington Post-backed Morris Panner, was over 42 points behind. Nevertheless, the At Large school board race is another race where MCEA and The Washington Post-backed candidates took the top two spots. That means this skirmish will also continue into November.
    1. Phil Kauffman - 38,722 - (60.3%) - MCEA Endorsed
    2. Morris Panner - 10,897 - (17.0%) - Washington Post Endorsed
    3. Lou August - 7,649 - (11.9%)
    4. Aryeh Shudofsky - 6,947 - (10.8%)

    More on the MoCo Board of Education races soon!

    Monday, April 2, 2012

    MCEA Sends Direct Mail for Jeanne Ellinport Featuring Sen. Rich Madaleno and Delegates Bonnie Cullison & Heather Mizeur

    UPDATE #2:  Rival Board of Education candidate Rebecca Smondrowski emailed to highlight that Delegate Heather Mizeur has endorsed both herself and Jeanne Ellinport for the District 2 seat. She forwards an email blast from Delegate Mizeur, which we excerpt below:
    HEATHER MIZEUR: For the Montgomery County Board of Education (a non-partisan race), there is an open seat in District 2 where county-wide votes will be tallied to advance the top two vote getters for the general election. I recommend you consider supporting either Jeanne Ellinport or Rebecca Smondrowski.  Both bring considerable passion for and experience on educational issues in the County and would make fine additions to the Board of Education.
    UPDATE: In the comments section below, MCEA political director Jon Gerson explains the omission of Fred Evans from the direct mail pieces below:
    JON GERSON: While Maryland Juice chose to post recent direct mail pieces sent out by MCEA in support of Board of Education candidate Jeanne Ellinport, with commentary recognizing the organization's recommendation of both Ellinport and Fred Evans in the D-2 BOE race, and noting only one candidate was featured ("interesting"), the blog/author failed to mention that MCEA provided similar support to Evans (who used the direct campaign contribution to also fund an extensive direct mailing). In addition, MCEA provided comparable resources to their recommended At-large BOE candidate, Phil Kauffman. While posting (only one of) the candidates pieces might be of interest to Maryland Juice followers, it is important to provide the full account of MCEA's support to avoid misperception by those relying on the site for information.

    Montgomery County's teachers union (MCEA) is sending out three postcards in support of Board of Education District 2 candidate Jeanne Ellinport. Each postcard features a state legislator, and coincidentally, all of the endorsers are from the LGBT Caucus: State Senator Rich Madaleno (D18), Delegate Bonnie Cullison (D19) and Delegate Heather Mizeur (D20).

    It is worth noting that MCEA has endorsed two candidates in the BOE District 2 race, Fred Evans and Jeanne Ellinport. Evans is not mentioned on these mail pieces. Interesting!

    MCEA Direct Mail: Board of Education District 2 Candidate Jeanne Ellinport